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STRATEGIES
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Roulette Tips & Strategies
It's a proven fact that roulette
systems that rely on probability have failed to produce consistent successful
results. At roulette, each spin is a new spin and the outcome is never
determined by prior spins. Therefore, the probability for a possible outcome
is the same for each spin of the roulette wheel and a probability advantage
cannot be predicted.
For example:
Which outcome has a higher probability after eight successive blacks, black
again or red?
Most people would say red.
Most people would be wrong. After
eight successive Blacks, a Black is as likely to come as a Red. The roulette
wheel has no memory and it does not remember what it just did. This is what
many gamblers find hard to believe. This misconception has been around for many
years and will probably be around for as many more years. It is known as the
notorious gambler's fallacy.
In theory, roulette may
be looked at as a game of probability and that the casino advantage of 5.26%
with a double zero wheel (2.7% with a single zero wheel) makes the player a
definite loser. In practice, as far as the player is concerned, roulette
is a game of luck and the player has a chance to win.
If you were to bet $5 on Black
for 38 spins on a double zero roulette wheel, in theory you would win
and lose every other spin and after 38 spins (which is about an hour of play
at a busy roulette table) you would lose $10 for twice the zero outcome.
In practice, during an hour of roulette play, at some stage, if you were
lucky you would be up and if you were unlucky you would be down by more than
$10, and deciding when to quit will determine the amount of your winnings or
losses.
If there was no casino advantage
and you were paid 37 to 1 (36 to 1 for a single zero wheel) instead of 35 to
1 on numbers and didn't lose on the outside bets when the outcome was zero,
during the past several times that you have played the roulette, would
you now be even with your money? Chances are it would not make much difference.
You would still be either winning or losing and by much more than 5.26%.
The reason is that at roulette
by far the two major factors that determine how much you win or lose are:
- Your luck on the day and
- Deciding when is the best time to quit.
Therefore, for a roulette system to have
a degree of success it has to be linked to luck and tell you exactly when to
quit. Additionally, a good system has to take into account other obscured but
important advantages for both, the casino and the player.
The advantages of roulette
to the casino:
- The player's natural greed for money
- The player's lack of self-discipline and
- Time (the longer you play the higher the chances that you hit a streak of bad luck and run out of money)
The advantages of roulette
to the player:
- You can choose when and where to bet
- You can choose and vary the amount of your bet and
- You decide when to quit.
Now, if you agree to all that has been said so far and give it some thought,
you could well apply a roulette strategy yourself that is linked to luck.
Additionally, if you are able to weaken the above said 3 casino advantages (not
easy) and make good use of the player's 3 advantages, chances are in the long
run you will come out an overall winner.
If you try to beat the roulette
wheel mathematically, it's unlikely that you will get anywhere even with no
casino advantage (no 0-00). Mathematics and gambling don't mix. In mathematics
you know exactly what is going to happen. Gambling is the exact opposite; you
never know what is going to happen - otherwise it wouldn't be gambling.
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